Ⅰ.Mtengo wopangira

Mtengo wopangira zitsulo umapangidwa ndi zopangira -- iron ore, mtengo wamagetsi, mtengo wandalama, kukonza kuwonongeka kwa makina, mtengo wantchito.

1.Zopangira

Malinga ndi kutsogolo chitsulo ore mtengo index, Mitengo yachitatu ikadali yotsika 30% kuchokera ku 2018.Monga kukwera mtengo kwa zinthu zopanga monga ntchito , sizingatheke kubwerera ku 2018.Choncho mitengo yachitsulo idzakhalabe pamtunda wachitatu, kuyandama pang'ono.

2. Mtengo wamagetsi

Pamene mitengo ya mphamvu padziko lonse ikukwera komanso mitengo ya malasha ikukwera kwambiri, mbali zina za China zimamasula mitengo yamagetsi ndikulola kuti mitengo yamagetsi isinthe., malinga ndi kafukufuku wa zikalata za boma, mitengo yamagetsi sikwera mpaka kalekale, mpaka ku 20 peresenti kuchokera kotala zitatu zam'mbuyo

Nthawi yomweyo, chifukwa cha kubwera kwa dzinja ndi kuchuluka kwa kutentha kwakufunika, boma la China lasintha mphamvu zopangira malasha m'nyumba kuti ziwongolere mitengo yamalasha pomwe zikuwonjezera kupezeka kwa malasha. Tsogolo la malasha lagwa katatu motsatizana., koma mitengo ya coke ikukwerabe.

Mitengo yopangira zitsulo zakula kwambiri chifukwa cha izi.

Coke price index index

Mtengo wamsika wa Metallurgical coke Shanxi

2021-08-06 2021-11-04

Gulu: kalasi yoyamba metallurgical coke

Mtengo wa Thermal Coal Hebei

Mtengo wa caloriki: 5500Kcal / kg

3. Mtengo wandalama

Malinga ndi lipoti lokhazikitsa ndondomeko ya ndalama la People's Bank of China mgawo lachiwiri komanso kusanthula kwachuma komwe kudasindikizidwa mu gawo lachitatu., ndondomeko zachuma kwa 2021 zimakonda kukhala zabwino kwa chuma chenicheni.Mills zitsulo monga likulu lalikulu kuti atenge chuma chenicheni makampani, kufunika kwa nthawi yayitali kuti mukhale ndi ndalama zambiri. Ndondomekoyi ndi yabwino kwambiri pamtengo wopangira.

 Ⅱ.Mgwirizano wapakatikati ndi kufunikira

1.Kufuna msika wapadziko lonse

Malinga ndi kupanga PMI, pafupifupi nthawi zonse PMI yapadziko lonse lapansi ndi yayikulu kuposa 50. Kufuna kwapadziko lonse kukukulirakulirabe.Koma European PMI yatsika m'miyezi itatu yapitayi.

Kukula ku United States ndi Brazil kwawonjezeka kwambiri.Kukuyembekezeka kufika pa February.

Chifuniro chonse chazitsulo chidzapitirira kuwonjezeka, koma zimatengera pafupifupi kotala kuti mufikire bwino.

2. Kufuna msika wapakhomo

Pamene msika wogulitsa nyumba ukuchepa, ntchito yomanga ikuchepa, ndipo kufunikira kwachitsulo kumachepa. Kuphatikiza apo, malinga ndi msika zitsulo kufufuza zinthu mu kotala lachitatu, zitha kuwonekanso kuti kufunikira kwa msika wapakhomo kwatsika.

Nthawi yomweyo, kufunikira kwa msika wapakhomo kumakhudza kwambiri mitengo yazitsulo ya China. Choncho, chifukwa cha kutsika kwa kufunikira kwa msika m'tsogolomu, zokwera kwambiri sizidzawoneka.

3. Perekani

Kupereka kwapakhomo kumakhudzidwa ndi ndondomeko ya carbon neutral, kusonyeza mkhalidwe wopingasa. Ngakhale vuto la mphamvu layamba kale kuchenjeza boma, kusalowerera ndale kwa kaboni kudzakhala ndi vuto lalikulu pakupanga ndi moyo. Komabe, m'tsogolomu, malasha ayenera kukhala omasuka, ndi kupanga zitsulo monga bizinesi yowononga mphamvu zambiri zidzakhalabe zoletsedwa. Mu kotala ikubwera, msika wachipwirikiti wachitsulo mchaka chathachi, boma la China laphunzira zambiri zokwanira kuti apewe mitengo yoopsa mu gawo lachiwiri la chaka chino.

 Ⅲ.Mapeto

Mu kotala ikubwera, pamene zofuna zapakhomo zimazizira ndikukhazikika, mitengo yachitsulo idzachoka pang'onopang'ono kuchokera kumtengo wapatali umene unali wokwera kwambiri kuposa mtengo wamtengo wapatali mu theka loyamba la chaka, ndi kubwerera ku kusinthasintha kwa mtengo wanthawi zonse. Koma akhudzidwabe ndi kukwera kwa mitengo yazinthu zosiyanasiyana zopanga zomwe zidabwera chifukwa cha mliriwu, mtengo wathunthu sudzawona kutsika ngati thanthwe.

Malingaliro ogula:

Kuphatikiza malamulo amtengo wazaka zam'mbuyomu ndi kuyerekezera kwa msika, oda akhoza kuikidwa mu November-January. Mtengo udzakhala wotsika posachedwa. Ngati pakufunika kusunga zida zopangira, ikhozanso kumalizidwa posachedwa.

Ⅳ.Nkhani

[1]Lipoti la Monetary Policy Execution Report la People's Bank of China mu Gawo Lachiwiri la 2021
[2]Mitengo yachitsulo kudera la South China ikhoza kukwera mu Okutobala komanso zovuta kugwa
[3]Tchati changa cham'tsogolo chachitsulo
[4]Kusanthula kufunikira kwachitsulo kutengera chitsulo cha nkhumba kupanga zitsulo zazitali zazitali
[5]Chidziwitso chochokera ku National Development and Reform Commission pa kuzama mopitilira muyeso wokhudza msika wa mitengo yamagetsi opangira malasha pa gridi.

Ⅶ.Lumikizanani nafe

Ngati mukufuna kudziwa zambiri za kusanthula, pls tiuzeni.

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